Ubutegetsi bwa Iran bwagaragaje ko mu gihe habaho ibiganiro by’amahoro n’Amerika, butazagarukira gusa ku gusaba guhagarika imirwano, ahubwo hazabanza kumvikanwa ku mirongo ngenderwaho y’igihe kirekire igamije kurinda umutekano n’inyungu by’igihugu.
Amakuru yatangajwe n’ibitangazamakuru mpuzamahanga agaragaza ko Tehran ishaka ibiganiro bifite ireme n’ibisubizo birambye, aho kuba ibiganiro byo kurangiza ibibazo by’ako kanya gusa. Abasesenguzi babibona nk’impinduka mu buryo Iran isanzwe yitwara mu bya dipolomasi, aho ishyira imbere ubusugire bwayo n’umutekano w’akarere.
Ibyo Iran ishyira imbere mu biganiro
Amakuru aturuka mu nzego za dipolomasi agaragaza ko Iran ishobora kuzagaragaza ibyifuzo bikomeye birimo:
1️⃣ Kutazongera kugabwaho ibitero
Iran ishaka ko United States yemera ku mugaragaro ko itazongera kugaba ibitero bya gisirikare ku butaka bwayo, yaba mu buryo butaziguye cyangwa binyuze mu bafatanyabikorwa bayo.
2️⃣ Indishyi z’ibyangijwe n’intambara
Tehran ishobora gusaba indishyi ku byangiritse byatewe n’ibikorwa bya gisirikare n’ibihano by’ubukungu byayifatiwe mu myaka yashize.
3️⃣ Ubwisanzure ku igenzura ry’umuhora wa Hormuz
Iran ishaka kwemezwa ko ari yo ifite ijambo rikomeye ku mutekano n’imicungire ya Strait of Hormuz, umuhora unyuzwamo hafi 20% bya peteroli icuruzwa ku Isi. Aha ni ahafatwa nk’ah’ingenzi cyane ku bukungu bw’Isi.
4️⃣ Gukurirwaho amananiza ku ntwaro zayo
Iran ishobora kandi gusaba ko itazongera gushyirwaho amananiza akomeye kuri gahunda yayo y’ikorwa n’igeragezwa ry’intwaro zirimo iza misile z’itambitse (ballistic missiles), isanzwe ivuga ko ari iz’ubwirinzi.
Amakuru menshi agaragaza ko izi ngingo zose ziganirwaho ku ruhande rwa Iran zifitwemo ijambo rikomeye n’urwego rukomeye rwa gisirikare, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Iyi nzego isanzwe igira uruhare rukomeye mu byemezo bikomeye bifata ku mutekano n’ububanyi n’amahanga.
Abasesenguzi bavuga ko uruhare rwayo rugaragaza ko Iran idashaka ibiganiro by’amahoro byoroheje, ahubwo ishaka amasezerano afite ingaruka z’igihe kirekire ku mutekano wayo.
Pakistan yiteguye kwakira ibiganiro
Hagati aho, Pakistan yatangaje ko yiteguye kwakira ibiganiro bishobora guhuza Iran, Amerika na Israel mu rwego rwo gushaka igisubizo kirambye ku makimbirane amaze igihe mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati.
Ibi byakurikiye amagambo ya Perezida wa Amerika, Donald Trump, wavuze ko ibiganiro by’amahoro byatangiye, nubwo Tehran itahise ibyemeza.
Ku ruhande rwa Israel, ntiharagira icyo itangaza ku mugaragaro ku bijyanye n’aya makuru, ariko isanzwe ifatwa nk’umwe mu bafitanye amakimbirane akomeye na Iran.
Abasesenguzi mu bya politiki mpuzamahanga bavuga ko ibiganiro bishobora kuba inzira nziza yo kugabanya umwuka mubi umaze imyaka hagati y’ibihugu byombi. Icyakora, bagaragaza imbogamizi zikomeye:
Kutizerana hagati y’impande zombi
Inyungu za politiki z’imbere mu bihugu byombi
Uruhare rw’ibindi bihugu bikomeye muri aka karere
Iran isa n’ishaka amasezerano ayirinda kongera gushyirwa mu kato cyangwa kugabwaho ibitero, mu gihe Amerika yo ishobora gushyira imbere kugabanya ibikorwa bya gisirikare n’iterabwoba mu karere.
Amahoro arambye asaba kurenga politiki y’igihe gito
Nubwo guhagarika imirwano ari ingenzi, amateka agaragaza ko amasezerano menshi y’amahoro adafite umurongo mugari w’igihe kirekire akunda gusenyuka vuba. Iran kugaragaza ko ishaka ingwate z’igihe kizaza bishobora kuba uburyo bwo kwirinda gusubira mu makimbirane yahoragaho.
Icyakora, gushyira imbere inyungu z’igihugu kimwe gusa bishobora gutuma ibiganiro bigorana. Amahoro arambye asaba ubwisanzure bwo kuganira, kwemera gutanga no kwakira.
Icyo bivuze ku karere no ku Isi
Umutekano w’akarere ushobora kwiyongera
Isoko rya peteroli ku Isi rishobora gutekana
Dipolomasi ishobora gusimbura intambara
Iyo ibiganiro nk’ibi bigenda neza, bigira ingaruka nziza ku bukungu bw’Isi n’umutekano w’abaturage.
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| Iran igaragaje ibyo izasaba Amerika mu biganiro by’amahoro birimo kutazongera kugabwaho ibitero, indishyi n’ubwisanzure ku mutekano wa Hormuz. |